Northampton vs Leyton Orient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
OXF
2 - 1
NOR
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
NOR
3 - 0
MOR
56%
23%
22%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
NOR
3 - 1
WYC
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
STA
2 - 4
NOR
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
YOR
1 - 1
NOR
58%
24%
19%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Leyton Orient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ALF
2 - 4
LEY
38%
23%
39%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
LEY
2 - 0
PNE
28%
26%
45%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
OPA
2 - 3
LEY
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
CUM
1 - 4
LEY
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
GLO
0 - 2
LEY
26%
24%
50%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +1 |