FA Cup 1/128
Global 3-6
Northampton vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
35.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
NOR
0 - 1
OLD
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2008 |
LEE
1 - 1
NOR
64%
21%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
WAL
3 - 1
NOR
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
LEI
0 - 0
NOR
53%
27%
21%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
SWI
2 - 1
NOR
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
LEE
1 - 2
HUR
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
DER
2 - 1
LEE
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2008 |
LEE
1 - 1
NOR
64%
21%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
CHE
0 - 1
LEE
22%
26%
53%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
SOU
1 - 0
LEE
38%
28%
35%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |