Northampton vs Hereford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 1
NOR
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
POR
3 - 0
NOR
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
NOR
0 - 1
CRA
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 2
NOR
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 1
DAG
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
HER
1 - 0
BAR
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
HER
2 - 0
BRA
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SWI
3 - 3
HER
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
HER
0 - 1
OXF
32%
28%
40%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 0
HER
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |