Northampton vs Hereford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 3
SOU
27%
23%
49%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
ALD
2 - 1
NOR
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 2
CRE
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
NOR
0 - 0
GRI
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
MKD
3 - 1
NOR
63%
21%
17%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
HER
0 - 1
COL
24%
25%
52%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
HER
2 - 1
STF
33%
28%
39%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
BUR
3 - 2
HER
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 0
HER
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
LEY
1 - 1
HER
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |