Northampton vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
LEE
3 - 0
NOR
65%
22%
14%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
NOR
1 - 1
MIL
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
HUR
1 - 2
NOR
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
DON
2 - 0
NOR
59%
24%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2007 |
NOR
4 - 1
BOU
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
CUM
4 - 2
HAR
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
HAR
1 - 1
LEY
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
HAR
1 - 1
LEE
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
SWI
2 - 1
HAR
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
HAR
3 - 0
CRE
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |