Northampton vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CRE
0 - 2
NOR
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
STE
1 - 2
NOR
42%
25%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
NOR
0 - 0
CRA
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
LIN
1 - 1
NOR
66%
21%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
TRA
1 - 2
NOR
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
EXE
0 - 1
TRA
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
LIN
1 - 1
EXE
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CRE
1 - 2
EXE
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
EXE
0 - 1
BCF
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
CUM
1 - 1
EXE
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |