Northampton vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 1
COL
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BRO
3 - 1
NOR
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 2
GIL
33%
26%
42%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
BUR
3 - 3
NOR
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
NOR
0 - 0
CHE
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
EXE
0 - 2
POR
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 2
EXE
28%
25%
47%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
EXE
1 - 2
BRO
63%
21%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 1
EXE
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
EXE
3 - 2
WYC
53%
24%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |