Northampton vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
40.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
PLY
4 - 1
NOR
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 7
STF
24%
26%
49%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
LUT
1 - 0
NOR
67%
19%
15%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
GIL
4 - 3
NOR
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 1
ROT
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
CRE
1 - 0
HER
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 2
CRE
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
CRE
1 - 4
COL
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
OLD
3 - 1
CRE
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CRE
0 - 3
GUL
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |