Northampton vs Crawley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
SWI
5 - 2
NOR
42%
27%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
TOW
1 - 2
NOR
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
EXE
1 - 2
NOR
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
NOR
1 - 0
LEY
32%
28%
40%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
NOR
2 - 1
OLD
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
CRA
3 - 1
COL
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
LEY
1 - 2
CRA
65%
22%
13%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
WAL
1 - 1
CRA
45%
26%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CRA
1 - 2
MAN
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
CRA
1 - 1
NEW
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |