Northampton vs Colchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
NOR
0 - 0
HUR
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
NOR
0 - 1
WIG
32%
27%
41%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2002 |
BRI
3 - 0
NOR
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
NOR
1 - 0
BAR
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2002 |
CHE
4 - 0
NOR
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
POR
1 - 0
COL
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
COV
3 - 0
COL
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
COL
1 - 1
CHE
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
COL
1 - 0
WIG
37%
26%
36%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2002 |
POS
0 - 1
COL
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |