Northampton vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2008 |
NOR
2 - 1
TRA
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
POR
2 - 2
NOR
31%
28%
42%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
NOR
2 - 0
OLD
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
SOU
1 - 1
NOR
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
NOR
2 - 1
LUT
50%
26%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2008 |
CHE
2 - 1
DON
22%
27%
51%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
OLD
2 - 1
CHE
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
CRE
3 - 1
CHE
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
CHE
1 - 2
WAL
36%
29%
35%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
NTT
3 - 1
CHE
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |