Northampton vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
25.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
OLD
3 - 0
NOR
58%
24%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2006 |
NOR
0 - 1
LEY
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
HUR
1 - 1
NOR
48%
26%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
NOR
0 - 2
DON
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2006 |
CHE
0 - 0
NOR
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
CHE
2 - 2
BRI
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
CHE
2 - 0
ROT
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
BHA
2 - 1
CHE
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2006 |
BPO
2 - 1
CHE
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2006 |
CHE
2 - 3
STF
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |