Northampton vs Chelsea U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
36.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 2
BAR
21%
27%
53%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
NOR
38%
28%
35%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 3
OXF
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 1
WYC
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CHE
0 - 1
NOR
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Chelsea U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
MCI
1 - 2
CHE
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
CHE
3 - 0
WBA
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
MKD
4 - 1
CHE
49%
22%
30%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
NOR
3 - 2
CHE
30%
24%
47%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
CHE
2 - 3
BHA
55%
23%
23%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |