Northampton vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
CRE
3 - 3
NOR
71%
19%
10%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
NOR
0 - 1
POS
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
BPO
2 - 1
NOR
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
NOR
0 - 5
WYC
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
BAR
1 - 2
NOR
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2003 |
CAR
1 - 1
OLD
58%
23%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
HUR
1 - 0
CAR
24%
25%
51%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
CAR
2 - 1
CHE
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2003 |
COV
3 - 0
CAR
47%
25%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
CAR
2 - 2
COV
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |