Northampton vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
MAN
4 - 0
NOR
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
NOR
0 - 0
NOT
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
POR
2 - 0
NOR
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
NOR
1 - 3
CHE
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
NOR
0 - 1
WYC
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
COL
1 - 2
BCF
56%
23%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BCF
0 - 1
CUM
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SWI
1 - 2
BCF
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
BCF
4 - 0
GRI
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
ROC
2 - 1
BCF
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |