Northampton vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
WYC
1 - 1
NOR
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
NOR
3 - 2
BOS
62%
22%
15%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
CUM
0 - 1
NOR
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2005 |
NOR
3 - 0
QPR
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
STF
1 - 1
NOR
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
BCF
0 - 1
CUM
38%
28%
34%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
MAC
1 - 0
BCF
53%
25%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
BCF
2 - 2
WRE
30%
27%
44%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2005 |
BCF
0 - 3
LEI
16%
23%
61%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
WYC
4 - 0
BCF
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -2 |