Northampton vs Burton Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
CHE
3 - 0
NOR
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
NOR
3 - 1
FLE
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
NOR
3 - 1
DAG
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 0
ALD
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
GUL
1 - 1
NOR
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Burton Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
BUR
2 - 1
GUL
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
LEI
2 - 0
BUR
80%
14%
7%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
YOR
3 - 0
BUR
44%
26%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
BUR
2 - 0
SOU
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
BUR
3 - 2
ROC
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |