Northampton vs Barnsley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
26.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
LIN
3 - 2
NOR
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2004 |
GUL
1 - 3
NOR
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
SOU
2 - 1
NOR
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
NOR
5 - 1
ROC
55%
24%
20%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2004 |
NOR
1 - 0
OXF
51%
26%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
BAR
1 - 2
POR
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
BOU
1 - 3
BAR
62%
22%
17%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
BAR
2 - 2
SWI
33%
27%
41%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2004 |
BAR
1 - 3
DON
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
SHW
1 - 0
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |