Northampton vs Arsenal U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
33.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
LEY
0 - 0
NOR
44%
26%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NOR
0 - 1
SAL
39%
29%
33%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
WAL
1 - 0
NOR
20%
25%
55%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SWI
1 - 2
NOR
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NOR
2 - 1
STO
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TOT
0 - 0
ARS
20%
24%
57%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LIV
1 - 1
ARS
18%
23%
59%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
IPS
2 - 0
ARS
55%
22%
24%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ARS
1 - 1
WOL
68%
20%
13%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ARS
4 - 1
BRO
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |