Northampton vs Arsenal U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
35.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
COL
1 - 0
NOR
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
SWI
0 - 1
NOR
49%
25%
27%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
NOR
1 - 2
MAC
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
SWA
3 - 1
NOR
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
POR
1 - 1
NOR
31%
26%
44%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
OPA
2 - 1
ARS
71%
17%
12%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 3
ARS
50%
22%
28%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
CHE
6 - 2
ARS
27%
22%
51%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
COV
0 - 3
ARS
57%
22%
22%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
SSV
5 - 0
ARS
79%
13%
8%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |