Northampton vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
3 - 2
BRO
39%
25%
37%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 2
NOR
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 2
POR
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
NOR
3 - 2
MAC
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 0
AFC
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
GUL
1 - 0
ALD
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ALD
1 - 0
MOR
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ALD
4 - 1
BAR
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
ALD
2 - 0
SOU
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 1
ALD
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |