Northampton vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
NOR
4 - 0
STA
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
DAG
0 - 1
NOR
49%
24%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
NOR
1 - 1
BUR
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
DAR
1 - 2
NOR
26%
27%
48%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
NOR
0 - 0
CHE
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
BAR
3 - 0
ALD
32%
26%
43%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
ALD
1 - 1
GRI
70%
19%
12%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
STA
2 - 1
ALD
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
ALD
2 - 1
BOU
48%
25%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
ALD
1 - 1
ROC
38%
25%
37%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |