Northampton vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
EXE
3 - 0
NOR
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 0
BRO
59%
22%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 0
PLY
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
AFC
1 - 1
NOR
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 2
NOR
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
STA
0 - 0
GUL
47%
25%
27%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
ROC
0 - 3
STA
63%
21%
17%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
STA
2 - 2
CHE
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
EXE
2 - 0
STA
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
STA
1 - 1
SOU
25%
25%
50%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +1 |