Northampton U18 vs Exeter City U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
20%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
5º
14º
14º
1
15º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
12 | 58 |
1º
|
39% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 53 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 47 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 46 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 46 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 44 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 43 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 42 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 41 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 39 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 38 |
11º
|
6.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 35 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 32 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 32 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 31 |
15º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
1 | 29 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 25 |
17º
|
24% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 20 |
18º
|
39% | |
|
19º
|
0 | 9 |
19º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FGR
3 - 2
NTH
34%
22%
44%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NTH
2 - 3
OXU
48%
22%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BRR
1 - 2
NTH
24%
21%
55%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
NTH
2 - 1
POR
41%
22%
38%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
NTH
2 - 1
MKD
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Exeter City U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ECS
0 - 3
STV
25%
21%
54%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LTO
3 - 0
ECS
81%
12%
8%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ECS
3 - 4
AFW
28%
21%
52%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GIL
4 - 1
ECS
56%
20%
24%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
NWC
3 - 1
ECS
25%
20%
55%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -2 |