FA Cup 1/128
Global 4-4
Northallerton Town vs Bradford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
67.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
14%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northallerton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1970 |
NOR
2 - 8
MUD
2%
9%
89%
|
17 | 87 | 70 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1970 |
NOR
2 - 1
TRA
16%
23%
61%
|
10 | 47 | 37 | +7 |
Matches
Bradford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
WIG
0 - 0
BRA
81%
14%
5%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 0
BRA
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
NOR
0 - 1
BRA
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BRA
3 - 1
CHE
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 1
YOR
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |