North York Astros vs St. Catharine Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North York Astros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
NOR
0 - 0
SCW
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
NOR
1 - 3
BRA
42%
24%
34%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
NOR
2 - 1
SHO
30%
25%
46%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
NOR
1 - 3
SER
27%
26%
47%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
SCW
1 - 5
NOR
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
St. Catharine Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2008 |
SCW
3 - 3
LON
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
NOR
0 - 0
SCW
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
TCR
5 - 1
SCW
69%
19%
11%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
SCW
1 - 1
SCT
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
WIN
1 - 1
SCW
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |