North York Astros vs Durham Storm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
69.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North York Astros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
NOR
3 - 0
SCT
35%
24%
41%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
NOR
4 - 1
BRS
39%
25%
36%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
BRA
0 - 0
NOR
71%
18%
12%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
NOR
1 - 1
LON
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
NOR
1 - 6
TCR
21%
24%
56%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Durham Storm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
DUR
5 - 1
TRA
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2002 |
HAM
2 - 3
DUR
25%
24%
51%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2002 |
HAM
2 - 3
DUR
13%
20%
67%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2002 |
SHO
3 - 4
DUR
16%
21%
63%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2002 |
SCW
0 - 4
DUR
34%
25%
41%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |