North Wellington AFC vs Wellington Phoenix II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.1%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
82.9%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
12.6%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.3%
0-4
8.7%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11.7%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.1%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Wellington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
HNW
2 - 3
NWA
71%
16%
13%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
NWA
1 - 3
MIR
5%
12%
83%
|
20 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
NAP
2 - 2
NWA
78%
13%
9%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
WSU
3 - 2
NWA
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
NWA
1 - 2
WEL
9%
13%
79%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
WEL
4 - 2
NAP
92%
6%
2%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
HNW
1 - 1
WEL
6%
13%
81%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
WEL
2 - 2
WEL
76%
14%
10%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
WSU
1 - 2
WEL
11%
17%
72%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
WEL
3 - 0
PET
95%
4%
1%
|
52 | 12 | 40 | 0 |