North Wellington AFC vs Wellington Olympic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.3%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.3%
1-0
1.1%
2-1
0.7%
3-2
0.1%
4-3
<0%
+1
1.9%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.5%
90.2%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
14%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
14.9%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
20.4%
0-4
12%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
15.4%
0-5
7.7%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
9.5%
0-6
4.1%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.9%
0-7
1.9%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
2.2%
0-8
0.8%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.9%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
7º
10º
9º
51
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Wellington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
NAP
6 - 1
NWA
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
WSU
2 - 0
NWA
89%
8%
3%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NWA
2 - 2
PET
26%
21%
53%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MIR
8 - 1
NWA
94%
4%
1%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
NWA
1 - 4
IBU
73%
14%
13%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Wellington Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WEL
6 - 0
PET
95%
4%
1%
|
49 | 15 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
COA
1 - 5
WEL
6%
11%
84%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MIR
0 - 1
WEL
8%
13%
79%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WEL
8 - 0
IBU
88%
8%
4%
|
49 | 8 | 41 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
WEL
4 - 0
MAN
86%
9%
5%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |