North Wellington AFC vs Waterside Karori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
70.3%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
8%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
7º
10º
9º
24
4º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Wellington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
NWA
1 - 3
NAP
8%
12%
81%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
STO
3 - 1
NWA
84%
10%
6%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
PET
3 - 0
NWA
84%
10%
6%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
NWA
0 - 5
WEL
7%
12%
81%
|
14 | 49 | 35 | -2 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
WEL
2 - 3
NWA
94%
5%
2%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
Waterside Karori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
WAF
1 - 6
WKA
8%
13%
79%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
WKA
4 - 3
PET
54%
20%
26%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
MEL
3 - 1
WKA
46%
21%
33%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
WKA
1 - 2
MIR
42%
21%
38%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
WSU
2 - 1
WKA
41%
21%
38%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |