North Wellington AFC vs Petone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19%
24.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Wellington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
WUF
5 - 1
NWA
44%
21%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
WEL
2 - 0
NWA
92%
6%
2%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
NWA
1 - 4
HNW
58%
19%
23%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
MIR
5 - 1
NWA
93%
6%
2%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
NWA
5 - 1
WSU
18%
18%
64%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
Petone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
PET
2 - 0
HNW
37%
21%
42%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
MIR
5 - 1
PET
94%
5%
1%
|
19 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
PET
4 - 0
WSU
10%
15%
75%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | +4 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
WKA
1 - 1
PET
79%
13%
9%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
PET
2 - 2
NAP
9%
13%
77%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | +1 |