North Wellington AFC vs Petone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.5%
Win probability
3.63
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.1%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.7%
4-0
10%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.2%
3.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Wellington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
WAI
2 - 2
NWA
59%
19%
22%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
LHC
3 - 1
NWA
80%
12%
8%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
WKA
0 - 3
NWA
48%
21%
32%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
NWA
2 - 3
WSU
17%
18%
66%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
MIR
5 - 2
NWA
91%
7%
2%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Petone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
PET
4 - 2
WAF
64%
18%
19%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MIR
7 - 1
PET
94%
5%
1%
|
10 | 53 | 43 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
WKA
4 - 0
PET
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
WEL
7 - 1
PET
93%
6%
2%
|
11 | 43 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
PET
1 - 3
WSU
6%
11%
83%
|
12 | 40 | 28 | -1 |