North Wellington AFC vs Napier City Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
71.4%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
9%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Wellington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
NWA
1 - 6
WEL
9%
13%
78%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
WEL
3 - 1
NWA
90%
7%
3%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
WAF
0 - 7
NWA
11%
14%
76%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
PET
3 - 1
NWA
18%
18%
65%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
NWA
2 - 2
WUF
45%
21%
34%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Napier City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
NAP
7 - 0
WUF
65%
18%
17%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
NAP
1 - 0
HNW
72%
15%
13%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
PET
2 - 4
NAP
12%
15%
73%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
NAP
1 - 1
MIR
9%
15%
76%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
WSU
1 - 3
NAP
63%
18%
19%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |