North Wellington AFC vs Miramar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
6.8%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
76.1%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.4%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
2.1%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
3.8%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
10.7%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
5.9%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Wellington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
IBU
2 - 3
NWA
59%
19%
23%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
NWA
1 - 5
WEL
10%
13%
78%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
STO
1 - 1
NWA
82%
11%
7%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
NWA
0 - 2
WKA
14%
16%
70%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
NWA
1 - 3
NAP
8%
12%
81%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MIR
1 - 1
PET
86%
9%
5%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MIR
3 - 2
WSU
70%
16%
14%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
IBU
0 - 2
MIR
9%
13%
78%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MIR
4 - 0
WEL
30%
20%
50%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +3 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
MIR
0 - 4
WEL
24%
20%
56%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -2 |