North Wellington AFC vs Miramar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
83.3%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.5%
0-4
8.8%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12%
0-5
4.9%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.3%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Wellington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
NAP
2 - 2
NWA
78%
13%
9%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
WSU
3 - 2
NWA
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
NWA
1 - 2
WEL
9%
13%
79%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
NWA
2 - 2
WKA
45%
21%
35%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
NWA
1 - 3
WAF
94%
5%
2%
|
21 | 5 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
MIR
5 - 0
HNW
91%
7%
2%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
WKA
3 - 2
MIR
6%
13%
81%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
WSU
0 - 8
MIR
16%
20%
64%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
WEL
2 - 2
MIR
54%
21%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
4 - 2
MIR
46%
22%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |