North Wellington AFC vs Island Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
14.3%
13.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
7º
10º
9º
12
8º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Wellington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 1
NWA
90%
7%
3%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
NWA
3 - 1
STO
40%
20%
40%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 1
NWA
84%
11%
6%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
WKA
3 - 3
NWA
82%
11%
7%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
1 - 4
NWA
81%
12%
8%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Island Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
IBU
0 - 3
PET
17%
18%
65%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
MIR
5 - 0
IBU
92%
6%
3%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
WSU
5 - 1
IBU
86%
9%
5%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
IBU
1 - 2
PET
23%
19%
58%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
IBU
1 - 3
WEL
10%
13%
77%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | 0 |