North Texas vs Union Omaha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
28%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Texas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
IMI
3 - 2
NOT
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
NOT
3 - 3
NER
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
NOT
2 - 2
CRW
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
OMA
1 - 0
NOT
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
NOT
2 - 1
FMA
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
OMA
1 - 1
FMA
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
TUC
1 - 2
OMA
24%
26%
50%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
OMA
1 - 0
NOT
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
NER
0 - 0
OMA
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
COL
0 - 1
OMA
8%
14%
78%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | -1 |