North Texas vs Tucson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Texas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
OMA
0 - 0
NOT
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
FMA
1 - 1
NOT
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
CRW
1 - 1
NOT
40%
27%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
NOT
4 - 0
CAR
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
TUC
0 - 2
NOT
27%
25%
48%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
NER
1 - 2
TUC
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
TUC
2 - 1
GTR
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
IMI
0 - 4
TUC
57%
21%
22%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
TUC
0 - 1
OMA
26%
26%
48%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
TUC
0 - 2
NOT
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |