North Texas vs Tucson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Texas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
TUC
0 - 2
NOT
23%
24%
53%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
ORL
1 - 1
NOT
16%
22%
61%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2020 |
NOT
2 - 2
OMA
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
IMI
3 - 2
NOT
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
NOT
3 - 3
NER
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
TUC
1 - 0
NER
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
TUC
0 - 2
NOT
23%
24%
53%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
TUC
2 - 2
RIC
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
OMA
2 - 1
TUC
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
ORL
1 - 4
TUC
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |