North Texas vs Sporting Kansas City II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Texas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 1
NOT
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
NOT
2 - 1
STL
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
HOU
4 - 0
NOT
39%
28%
34%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
COR
2 - 0
NOT
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
NOT
4 - 0
MIN
63%
20%
17%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Kansas City II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SPK
1 - 1
VAN
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
POR
5 - 2
SPK
28%
23%
49%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
SPK
3 - 1
STL
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
SPK
41%
24%
35%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
TAC
4 - 3
SPK
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |