North Texas vs Sporting Kansas City II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
15%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Texas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
HOU
2 - 1
NOT
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
TAC
3 - 0
NOT
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
NOT
2 - 2
LAF
90%
8%
2%
|
57 | 15 | 42 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
SPK
1 - 1
NOT
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
NOT
0 - 1
SAN
66%
19%
15%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Kansas City II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
SPK
2 - 1
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
POR
3 - 1
SPK
22%
22%
56%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -2 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
SPK
7 - 1
VAN
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
SPK
1 - 1
NOT
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
LAF
0 - 2
SPK
5%
11%
84%
|
48 | 14 | 34 | 0 |