North Texas vs St. Louis II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Texas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
HOU
4 - 0
NOT
39%
28%
34%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
COR
2 - 0
NOT
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
NOT
4 - 0
MIN
63%
20%
17%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
NOT
21%
24%
55%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
NOT
3 - 3
AFC
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
St. Louis II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
SPK
3 - 1
STL
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
STL
4 - 3
LAF
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
VAN
3 - 1
STL
30%
26%
45%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
STL
2 - 0
SPK
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2024 |
STL
1 - 0
HOU
48%
25%
28%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |