North Texas vs Real Monarchs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Texas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
POR
2 - 2
NOT
9%
17%
75%
|
57 | 26 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
NOT
3 - 0
SPK
67%
19%
14%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
STL
2 - 0
NOT
45%
27%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
NOT
3 - 3
HOU
50%
26%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
NOT
1 - 3
SAN
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MON
3 - 1
VAN
25%
25%
50%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 1
MON
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
SPK
18%
22%
60%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +3 |
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
HOU
4 - 1
MON
82%
13%
5%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
MON
4 - 0
POR
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +2 |