North Texas vs Forward Madison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Texas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
TUC
1 - 3
NOT
22%
25%
53%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
FMA
1 - 0
NOT
28%
28%
45%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
TOR
1 - 2
NOT
20%
24%
56%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
NOT
4 - 0
RIC
71%
19%
11%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
ORL
1 - 3
NOT
18%
23%
60%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
LIG
0 - 1
FMA
49%
25%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
TUC
1 - 1
FMA
26%
26%
48%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
FMA
1 - 0
NOT
28%
28%
45%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +3 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
RIC
0 - 1
FMA
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
FMA
1 - 1
TOR
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |