North Texas vs Forward Madison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Texas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
LIG
2 - 2
NOT
28%
28%
44%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
NOT
4 - 1
ORL
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
GTR
0 - 1
NOT
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
NOT
1 - 0
ORL
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
NOT
1 - 0
FMA
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
FMA
0 - 1
TOR
63%
21%
15%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2019 |
EPL
0 - 3
FMA
33%
23%
45%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CRW
2 - 2
FMA
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2019 |
MIB
0 - 2
FMA
39%
23%
38%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
FMA
3 - 1
TOR
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |