North Texas vs Chattanooga Red Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Texas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
OMA
1 - 0
NOT
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
NOT
2 - 1
FMA
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
NOT
1 - 0
SPK
69%
17%
13%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
NOT
1 - 3
TUL
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
NOT
1 - 0
GTR
50%
26%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chattanooga Red Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
CRW
1 - 0
TUC
62%
21%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
TOR
2 - 2
CRW
36%
27%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CRW
1 - 1
TOR
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CRW
2 - 1
RIC
61%
22%
16%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CRW
2 - 1
ORL
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +2 |