North Texas vs North Carolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Texas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
TUC
0 - 2
NOT
27%
25%
48%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
OMA
1 - 1
NOT
46%
27%
28%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
NOT
1 - 1
CRW
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
NOT
4 - 1
FMA
49%
25%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
RIC
3 - 2
NOT
27%
25%
48%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 4
CRW
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
NER
3 - 0
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
IMI
2 - 3
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
CAR
4 - 0
RIC
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 4
TOR
55%
23%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |