North Texas vs Philadelphia Union II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Texas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
NOT
3 - 0
STL
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
NOT
4 - 1
TAC
51%
23%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
NOT
3 - 2
VAN
79%
14%
7%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
NOT
8 - 2
MIN
62%
21%
18%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SPK
1 - 1
NOT
28%
26%
46%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Philadelphia Union II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
PHU
4 - 0
COL
41%
25%
35%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
PHU
1 - 1
COL
41%
25%
35%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
PHU
1 - 0
NYC
44%
24%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 1
PHU
36%
25%
39%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PHU
2 - 1
AFC
77%
14%
8%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |