North Texas vs Austin FC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Texas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
LAG
1 - 3
NOT
24%
25%
51%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 1
NOT
24%
25%
51%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
NOT
2 - 2
COR
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
STL
4 - 0
NOT
46%
26%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
NOT
4 - 1
HOU
51%
23%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Austin FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
AFC
3 - 1
HOU
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MIN
3 - 2
AFC
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
STL
3 - 2
AFC
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 1
MIN
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
4 - 3
COR
35%
25%
41%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |