North Star vs Albany Creek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.4%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
78.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
GEO
5 - 1
NOR
91%
6%
3%
|
10 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
NOR
1 - 3
BRK
22%
19%
59%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
NOR
0 - 1
BAY
9%
14%
77%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
TAR
8 - 0
NOR
89%
7%
3%
|
11 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
EAS
9 - 0
NOR
74%
15%
11%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Albany Creek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
ALB
4 - 0
BRK
87%
9%
4%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
BAY
4 - 0
ALB
32%
22%
46%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
ALB
4 - 0
TAR
60%
20%
20%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
TOO
0 - 2
ALB
51%
20%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
ALB
3 - 1
BAY
59%
19%
22%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |